Indicators of Germany - Page 2
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Thread: Indicators of Germany

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  2. #11
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    Industrial Production

    Index: tracking.
    The change in volume of production in the industrial sector in monetary terms. Defined as the ratio of the industrial production volume at the running period to the volume of production at the reference period (for example, at the previous month).

    Market Impact: High.
    The indicator characterizes the manufacturers’ extension of manufacturing, yielding and energy-efficient sectors. The increase of the overall production means a country's economic growth and the strengthening of its position in the world, and thus the competitive growth of the commodity abroad. The indicator is analyzed in comparison with previous periods. The increase of the overall production causes a rise of a stock price and the investors’ interest.

    Published: twice a month. After the 30th day of the month - the initial assessment, and in 15 days after it - the adjusted value.

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    Labor Cost Index

    Index: tracking.
    The indicator of the labor costs dynamics in all areas of the economy.

    Market impact: limited.
    Reflects inflation in the economy. The Index has a limited influence over the market. It promotes the euro growth.

    Published: quarterly.

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    Manufacturers' Orders

    Index: tracking.
    Number of orders for manufactured goods. The report data are quantized by industry, that helps to review the situation of various sectors of the economy.

    Market Impact: High.
    The indicator has a great influence over the market. It is used for analysis and control of the German economy. Industrial orders include domestic and foreign odrers, so this figure perfectly characterizes the strength of the economy. It promotes the growth of the national currency.

    Published: monthly, on the first week.

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    Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index)

    Index: advance.
    A poll is conducted among the Purchasing Managers of manufacturing sector; they should answer the questions regarding prices, terms of orders, etc. The answer must be "yes" or "no" or "unchanged". This is a leading indicator that helps keep track of the economic cycle.

    Market Impact: High.
    The index has a strong influence over the market. The index of 50 points is considered as neutral, it means that changes did not happen at the last period, but the index buildup - an indicator of industrial growth, therefore index below 50 points means a decrease in production. The index growth means strengthening of European currencies.

    Published: twice a month, on the third week of the month - the initial assessment, at the first working day of the following month - the final value.

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    Merchandise Trade (Balance of Payments)

    Index: tracking.
    The difference between the amount of payments that comes into the country and the amount of payments that comes out abroad. In case of the incoming payment amount is more than the outgoing payment amount, such a balance of payments is called active, and say that it has a positive balance. But if the outgoing payment is more than incoming, the balance of payments is negative (credit balance).

    Market impact: limited.
    The indicator has a limited influence over the market. The active balance of payments is promotive of the national currency strengthening.

    Published: in the middle of each month, 10-15th.

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  7. #16
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    PPI

    Index: tracking.
    Indicator imaging the producer's income from the volume sale of its products (excluding the agricultural sector). The index is calculated on the basis of information from the 5030 companies in Germany. The price level of 2005 taken as 100.

    Market impact: high.
    The Index has a high influence over the market. If the index rises, the European Bank may raise the interest rates. Industrial prices are often changed before the consumer, so the index is often used to estimate inflation.

    Published:
    monthly, on 20th.

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  8. #17
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    Private consumption

    Index: tracking.
    All goods and services bought by the private sector.

    Market Impact: High.
    Private consumption indicator has a big effect on the market and reflects the state economic well-being. The index advance helps to strengthen the national currency.

    Published: quarterly.

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  9. #18
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    Retail Trade

    Index: tracking.
    Dynamics of retail sales. The Retail Trade Index reflects the total revenue received from the sales and shows the share of consumer goods in total sales.

    Market impact: High.
    The index can have a strong influence over the market due to it’s difficult to forecast. It’s lower value is a signal to decrease of the economic growth and the rate of the national currency.

    Published: monthly.

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  10. #19
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    Services PMI (Purchasing Managers Index)

    Index: advance.
    A poll is conducted among the Service Sector Managers; they should answer the questions regarding prices, new contracts, etc. The answer must be "yes", "no" or "unchanged". This is an advance index adjuvant to monitor the economic cycle.

    Market Impact: Limited.
    The index of 50 points is considered as neutral, it means that changes did not happen at the last period, but the index buildup - an indicator of industrial growth, therefore index below 50 points means a decrease in production. The index growth helps to strengthen the European currency.

    Published: twice a month. On the third week of the month - the initial assessment, on the third working day of the following month - the final value.

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  11. #20
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    Trade Balance

    Index: tracking.
    The key indicator, strongly influencing the market. The report details all international trade. The indicator is the difference between exports and imports.

    Market Impact: High.
    Export always has to be analyzed first, since it directly affects the economic growth. Import images the domestic demand for products and has an influence over the trade balance and the exchange rate. It corrects revenue from import in the national currency. The positive trade balance (exports more than imports) or decrease of the negative trade balance – has a positive influence over the rate of the national currency. In case of the import is more than exports, the opposite effect occurs. The market will react to the trade balance indicator, depending on as the results will be important to the economy at the moment. Indicator’s fluctuations help to forecast the GDP, as far as import is sourced from GDP and export is added. The decrease of the trade deficit strengthens the national currency due to higher export.

    Published: In the middle of each month.

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