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    Forex Fundamental analysis

    Pitfalls in the ECB plans. Fundamental analysis for 26.08.2014

    Mario Draghi’s Friday’s speech in Kansas City marked a significant shift in emphasis in the policy of the ECB. However, over the years of the monetary union the Europeans have taken on so many restrictive measures that the practical realization of all that Draghi said would be extremely difficult. In fact, he shifted the responsibility for low inflation in the national government, calling the last to think about the growth of government spending.

    The fact is that as soon as there was a question about the need to tighten the belt, the European capitals went about it in the simplest way - they mercilessly closed long-term investment projects, which could have served as a basis for future growth. The logic here is more than clear as for the ordinary voter a set of social benefits is far more important. And now Draghi strongly suggests that governments begin to invest in infrastructure.

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    The Pound is looking for support. Overview for 10.10.2019

    On Thursday afternoon, GBPUSD stopped falling but may resume its decline at any moment.

    The British Pound is growing a little bit against the USD on Thursday. The current quote for the instrument is 1.2227.

    The European Union and the United Kingdom continue debating on the Brexit. The current discussions are about the exact time of Britain’s exiting the alliance: right now, the time may yet be revised based on the existing deal draft. The European Council will meet on October 17th and 18th, so if the parties do have any thoughts on delaying the Brexit, they should be voiced prior to these dates.

    The United Kingdom is scheduled to publish a lot of macroeconomic reports today. For example, the August GDP report, which is not expected to increase after adding 0.3% m/m in July. Apart from this, investors will be offered the Industrial Production report, which is also expected to remain the same after adding 0.1% m/m/ the month before. The Manufacturing Production may expand by 0.1% m/m, which is worse than the July reading. The Construction Output may drop by 0.4% m/m after being +0.5% m/m in July.

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    The Pound rose thanks to progress in Brexit talks. Overview for 11.10.2019

    On Friday morning, GBPUSD remains energetic and is ready to rise thanks to progress in Brexit talks.

    The British Pound intends to keep growing against the USD on Friday. The current quote for the instrument is 1.2450.

    The Pound skyrocketed yesterday after investors found out that the United Kingdom was ready to make significant concessions in the Brexit talks. Pat Leahy, the Irish Times editor, twitted that “there had been very significant movement from the British side on the customs issue in the Johnson-Varadkar talks”.

    Yesterday, the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar “held make-or-break Brexit talks”, after which market players started active debates on a possible deal soon. The “hardcore” Brexit is not a good thing for Ireland and here’s the reason why: according to the current calculations, this scenario might result in the hasty growth of unemployment, up to 7% on average. Later, it might get much worse.

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