Forex Fundamental analysis - Page 4
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Thread: Forex Fundamental analysis

  1. #31

    The Eurodollar is stuck in place. Overview for 03.02.2016

    On Wednesday afternoon, the main currency pair is trading very sluggishly, as investors analyze the statistical flow.

    The euro/dollar on Wednesday afternoon continues to walk in a very narrow trading range. The current quote of the main currency pair is 1.0924 (+ 0.06%).

    Today the market has already started to receive the promised interesting block of macroeconomic statistics. The Eurozone presented data showing that the index of business activity in the service sector in January was 53.6 points, in line with expectations. For Germany, this figure was at 55 points, with expected growth to 55.4 points. France reported on the activity in the non-manufacturing sector with a quite weak 50.3 points with the growth forecast to 50.6 points.


  2. #32

    The Australian dollar started the week with growth. Overview for 08.02.2016

    he AUD/USD is trading up on Monday, China has gone on a long vacation.

    On Monday, the Australian dollar is trading on the upside in the pair with the American counterpart. The current quotation of the instrument is 0.7118.

    The closest and strategically important for Australia trade and economic partner, China, went on long holidays - this week of February, there are several important events for the population. The New Year on the Chinese calendar is starting. This means that in the next five days no important statistics on the Chinese economy will be published.


  3. #33

    The Australian dollar is falling again. Overview for 09.02.2016

    The AUD/USD pair is trading lower on Tuesday after the publication of statistical data on the Australian economy.

    The Australian dollar this week was left without support from China, which has gone on long vacations in connection with the New Year on the eastern calendar. Against this background, the AUD/USD pair has been very sensitive to the Australian statistics. The current quotation of the instrument is 0.7047.

    This morning statistics were released on the index of confidence in the business circles of Australia from NAB. According to the report, the index for January amounted to only 2 points against the December value of 3 points. The components of the release show that the index of business conditions in the past month fell to 5 points versus 6 points previously.


  4. #34

    Negative investments. Fundamental analysis for 10.02.2016

    Side effects of a prolonged period of loose monetary policy of the world's leading central banks are gradually making themselves felt. One of the main problems was the difficulty of returning to "normal" interest rates, because with the lack of a sharp post-crisis economic recovery in the current environment it is extremely difficult to expect that growth will gain momentum with an increase in the cost of lending.

    That is why any signs of a possible return to recession in the global arena are noteworthy, as such manifestations, directly or indirectly, influence the actions of regulators. A few years ago, with the ever-growing returns on unreliable bonds of Greece and Spain, a number of German bonds began to trade at a negative rate. In other words – investments into reliable assets with a good rating began to bear losses.


  5. #35

    The dollar was unable to keep strengthening. Overview for 11.02.2016

    On Thursday afternoon, the main currency pair is trading in the middle, although the euro has managed to win back yesterday's losses.

    The night before, the US currency strengthened sharply against the euro, reaching a level of 1.1160 after comments from the head of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen with respect to monetary policy prospects. Today, the volatility in the main currency pair has leveled off, the instrument is trading steadily, the current price is 1.1301.

    So, the head of the American regulator last night once again confirmed that a series of raising interest rates by the Fed will be smooth and gradual, and it will move with the state of the economy. This time Yellen drew attention not only to their own economic system, but also mentioned the impact of monetary approaches of Europe and Japan. It is very interesting - before the Fed almost never looked back and did only what suited its fiscal interests.


  6. #36

    The yen strengthened too much. Overview for 12.02.2016

    Two-week sales in the USD/JPY pair led the instrument into the area of the minimums of the last fifteen months.

    The Japanese yen strengthened too much with other input: the local regulator is struggling with the "revival" of inflation and fixing it near the mark of 2%, while the currency market is preventing this work. The current quote in the USD/JPY pair is 112.49, and this is at the minimum of the past fifteen months.

    Today the head of the Bank of Japan Mr. Kuroda said that the regulator is closely monitoring market fluctuations, and the tactics of withdrawal of investors from risks and moving into the "safe havens". He stressed that the recent facts of the growth of the yen are not related to the Central Bank decision to introduce a method of negative interest rates. Cautious optimism in the ranks of the Central Bank is maintained. Although it is not much to go on.


  7. #37

    The yen stopped growing. Overview for 15.02.2016

    The USD/JPY pair is gradually restoring positions after a series of February sales.

    The Japanese yen has ceased to grow after a two-week rally. The current quote in the USD / JPY pair is 113.92. The February minimum is located at around 110.97.

    Data on GDP of Japan for the fourth quarter of last year came out today. Japan's economy contracted by 0.4% q/q, after growth of 0.3% q/q in the previous quarter. The yearly rate fell by 1.4%. The components of the report draw attention to the GDP deflator, which grew by 1.5% in the fourth quarter with the forecast of growth by 1.8%. This component can clarify some future steps the Bank of Japan in respect of regulating inflation.


  8. #38

    The pound was briefly supported by statistics. Overview for 17.02.2016

    BP/USD pair rose sharply after a block of macroeconomic statistics for the UK, but was not able to keep the momentum.

    This afternoon the British Pound strongly reacted to the published macroeconomic statistics. The growing momentum, however, was short-lived, and the pair could not sustain yesterday's peaks. The current quotation of the instrument is 1.4300.

    According to the presented statistics, the unemployment rate in the UK remained unchanged at 5.1% for the fourth quarter of 2015, which is the minimum in nearly six years. The forecasts were more optimistic and expected an improvement in the indicator to 5%. The number of British employees has increased markedly and at the end of the year amounted to 31.24 million. This is 74.1% of the population. The number of claims for unemployment benefits decreased by 14.8 thousand and amounted to 760.2 thousand people. This is also a minimum, but since 1975.


  9. #39

    The Australian dollar is temporarily retreating. Overview for 18.02.2016

    On Thursday, the AUD/USD pair is reacting to the statistics and mixed market sentiment.

    The Australian dollar on Thursday afternoon retreats in tandem with its US counterpart. The current quote in the AUD/USD is 0.7163. With this, the instrument is staying inside a short range with the limits of 0.7063-0.7186.

    Statistics on Australia published this morning was not too positive. The unemployment rate in January rose to 6.0% against the previous figure of 5.8%. The number of jobs in the last month decreased by 7.9 thousand against the expectation of growth by 15.0 thousand. Both full time and part time jobs decreased. At the same time it is evident that the proportion of the employed population has not changed, it is 65.2%.


  10. #40

    The Pound declines, despite the statistics. Overview for 19.02.2016

    The GBP/USD pair is trading with a decrease at the end of the week, although the pound could have found support in the report on retail sales.

    On Friday, the British Pound is trading on the downside in tandem with the US dollar. The current quotation of the instrument is 1.4279.

    British retail sales in January rose sharply and touched two-year highs. The index gained 2.3% against expectations of growth of only 0.8%. A month earlier, retail sales in the UK fell by 1.4%, and the January report completely neglected this. Yearly, January retail sales rose by 5.2%.

    The expectations of the influx of retail consumers on the background of post-Christmas sales paid off completely: Retail sales were dominated by the sector of clothing and footwear, and accessories. Food made half the contribution.


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