Forex Fundamental analysis - Page 13
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Thread: Forex Fundamental analysis

  1. #121

    The Australian Dollar is falling in price quickly. Overview for 02.03.2017

    The AUD/USD pair is “losing weight” fast on Thursday being influenced by the statistics on Australia’s balance of trade.

    On Thursday afternoon, the Australian Dollar is getting significantly weaker against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 0.7622.

    Today’s report showed that the country’s Balance of Trade in January was A$1.3B after being A$3.51B in the previous month and against expectations of A$3.8B.

    The major contribution in such weak report was made by the Exports: in January, the indicator lost 3% m/m after adding 5% m/m in December. At the same time, the Imports in the first month of 2017 expanded by 4% m/m after adding 1% m/m in December. The decline of the Exports reading looks quite interesting, because the GDP report in the fourth quarter of 2016 was positive, and the high base effect should have extended to the next month.


  2. #122

    The Yen is growing a bit. Overview for 03.03.2017

    The USD/JPY pair is trading to the downside on Friday afternoon despite several rather mixed statistical reports.

    On Friday, the Japanese Yen is growing a little bit against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 114.13.

    Today’s statistics showed that the Core Inflation Rate added 0.1% y/y after losing 0.2% y/y in the previous month, although it was expected to remain the same. The Inflation Rate added 0.4% y/y in January after expanding by 0.3% y/y in December. It’s a good number, however, the main problem of the Japanese inflation lies in the stable growth, which is beyond capability so far. The Tokyo Core CPI in February lost 0.3% y/y against expectation of adding 0.2% y/y.


  3. #123

    The Australian Dollar opened the week steadily. Overview for 06.03.2017

    The AUD/USD pair is moving a little bit upwards on Monday being influenced by some mixed statistics.

    On Monday morning, the Australian Dollar is growing against the USD, but investors aren’t very active. The current quote for the instrument is 0.7587.

    The Retail Sales in Australia in January expanded by 0.4% m/m (the same as expected) after losing 0.1% m/m in the previous month. Market players didn’t respond to the fact that the reading matched expectations. A positive reading of one of the most important macroeconomic indicators is certainly a good sign for the Aussie, but the market still remembers the RBA’s comment relating to the cost loading of Households. Still no increase of income in this matter, which means that one shouldn’t expect the national economy to grow significantly in the nearest future.


  4. #124

    The Yen is growing again. Overview for 08.03.2017

    The USD/JPY pair is falling on Wednesday morning as the market is processing the weak GDP report.

    On Wednesday, the Japanese Yen is slowly growing against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 113.70. The pair has been moving in the range between 113.60 and 114.80 more than a week.

    This morning, Japan published the Final GDP report in the country in the fourth quarter 2016. The indicator expanded by 0.3% q/q against expectation of 0.4% q/q and the preliminary reading of 0.2% q/q. On YoY, the Japanese GDP added 1.2%, although it was expected to increase by 1.6%.

    It’s quite interesting that the report components show the increase of the business spending (2.0% against 0.9%), but the private consumption isn’t growing as fast as the Japanese authorities want it to.


  5. #125

    Bears are putting pressure upon the EUR/USD. Overview for 09.03.2017

    The main currency pair is slowly retreating for the fifth consecutive trading session; the market is preparing for the Fed decision.

    The EUR/USD pair is falling for the fifth trading session in a row and doesn’t seem to stop. The current quote for the instrument is 1.0539.

    The most of the market’s attention is focused in the Fed meeting, which is planned for the next week. Approximately 85% of investors and economists are expecting the American regulator to increase the interest rate. And while the market is waiting, the statistics published by the USA is very positive.


  6. #126

    The Yen is slowly growing. Overview for 13.03.2017

    The USD/JPY pair is slowly falling as the market is feeling nervous before the March meeting of the FOMC.

    On Monday, the Japanese Yen is trading rather calmly against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 114.66.

    The market’s undivided attention is focused on the March meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee in the USA, which is planned to start on Tuesday, March 14th, and last for two days. The market is almost 100% sure that the interest rate will be increased. This. In its turn, will support the USD immediately and put pressure upon other currencies.


  7. #127

    The Brexit is putting pressure on the Pound again. Overview for 14.03.2017

    The GBP/USD pair is trading to the downside on Tuesday afternoon being influenced by new possible complications of the United Kingdom’s exiting the EU.

    On Tuesday, the British Pound is falling against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 1.2135.

    The Pound is neutral until the Brexit “ghost” appears – probably, this is the only negative driver for the British currency. Yesterday, the British Parliament passed the bill, which allows the government to use Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon. It means that the May’s starting to realize the plan. If there are no more legislative obstacles for the Brexit, the country will start the procedure.


  8. #128

    The Yen continues strengthening a bit. Overview for 15.03.2017

    On Wednesday, the USD/JPY pair is falling a little bit, but continues trading in the same mid-term range.

    In the middle of the week, the Japanese Yen is slightly growing against the USD. The current quote for the instrument is 114.68.

    The Industrial Production Final in Japan in January decreased by 0.4% m/m. The December reading was ‑0.8% m/m and expectations were the same. On YoY, the indicator added 3.7% against expectations of 3.2%.

    On MoM, the indicator weakened less than expected, but this winter decline might be not the last one. However, the components of the report don’t provide any signs of difficulties in the sector: the Capacity Utilization in January added 0.1%, thus continuing the December tendency, although a bit slower. Facilities drain supplies (-0.1% in January) and increase deliveries at the same time. Everything is pretty smoothly, although there is something disturbing.


  9. #129

    The Pound continues moving to the upside. Overview for 17.03.2017

    On Friday, the GBP/USD pair is trading upwards; investors are waiting for the Brexit procedure to start.

    The British Pound has been growing against the USD for the third consecutive trading session. The current quote for the instrument is 1.2368.

    The British Pound situation has been pretty interesting over the last several days. For example, earlier this week, the Parliament allowed the Government to use Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon and start the procedure of exiting the European Union. The following day, the Brexit law was signed by the Queen as well – this was more psychological matter than necessary.

    On Thursday, the BoE has another meeting, the results of which caught the market’s attention, although unexpectedly. The interest rate remained the same, 0.25%, but in the comment the regulator didn’t exclude a possibility of increasing it earlier than planned. 8 members voted to keep the rate unchanged, 1 voted against, although a month ago the results were 9 to 0.


  10. #130

    The Euro is still in good spirits. Overview for 20.03.2017

    At the beginning of the week, the EUR/USD is still growing slowly; the market is still unfriendly to the USD.

    The Euro continues growing slowly against the USD on Monday. The current quote for the instrument is 1.0772.

    Before noon, the main currency pair wasn’t very dynamic due to the not too active trading session in Asia: the Japanese market, which is closed because of the Vernal Equinox day, had its impact. In the afternoon, investors continue buying the Euro against the USD, influenced by the results of the March Fed’s meeting. The regulator increased the interest rate up to 1.0%, just as expected. Everything happened as it was predicted, that’s why the USD is still being sold. In addition to that, the Fed confirmed its intentions to revise the rate twice more until the end of the year.


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