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  1. #1
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    Indicator Moving Average

    Hi everybody, welcome to the thread created by me on Moving Averages Indicator. I would like to thank you all in advance for spending time in reading this post. I am writing about the indicator which i am using day in and day out in my routine trading life. Hence, all the critics and comments are accepted, indeed it is highly helpful for me to modify my trading method if there are any changes to be made. I have made gains and losses because of moving averages as there is nothing "perfect" in the forex market and the forex trading business.

    Below is the complete detail of moving averages, its use in the trading business.

    •Description of indicator;

    Moving averages smooth the price data to form a trend following indicator. They do not predict price direction, but rather define the current direction with a lag. Moving averages lag because they are based on past prices. Despite this lag, moving averages help smooth price action and filter out the noise. The two most popular types of moving averages are the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
    These moving averages can be used to identify the direction of the trend or define potential support and resistance levels.

    Exponential moving averages have less lag and are therefore more sensitive to recent prices - and recent price changes.
    Exponential moving averages will turn before simple moving averages. For this fact i am focusing more on EMA in my trading analysis.

    •Features and principles of indicator;

    The moving average indicator can be modified according to the type of trading method and trader type.
    For short term traders - moving averages from 5-20 periods are best suited.
    For medium-term traders - moving averages might extend from 20-60 periods.
    For Long-term traders - moving averages with 100 or more periods are preferred.

    I use Two moving averages for generating crossover signals and that is EMA 18, EMA 30.

    •Settings of indicator;

    The set up of the moving average indicator is very easy as they are easily available, infact they are one of the default indicators available in metatrader trading terminal. I have updated the set ups with two options, one where in there is direct click set up and in the second image there is direction from the insert tab in the meta trader trading terminal.

    Attachment 12578

    In the default meta trader trading terminal set up, on left side of the monitor there is account information tab and below the same we can find indicators tab. On clicking the list there are number of default indicators available. Move to Alphabet “M” – Where in you can find Moving averages, or sometimes it can be under Alphabet “C” – Custom Moving Averages. Click on this and then the set up box opens, under the periods tab there are options for moving average selection with two options – Simple or Exponential, select Exponential and the periods can be changed by manual set up as 18 with one color and EMA 30 with another color for better distinction.

    Attachment 12579

    •Supporting screenshots;

    I have attached the images of GBP/JPY, EUR/USD currency pairs which have given perfect sell and buy signal. I prefer to use M15 timeframe for obtaining the trading signal and there should be a clear close of the candle above the moving averages 18, 30 crossover. Its always best to rack up the pips because of which am happy with profits in the range of 30-50 pips, anything above that is certainly a feast.

    Attachment 12580 Attachment 12581



    ENTRY SIGNAL : Buy or Sell signal is generated from the crossover when 18 EMA crosses 30 EMA. The successful close of the two - three candles is always best for considering to enter into the trade.
    Buy when 18 EMA crosses 30 EMA from below.

    Sell When 18 EMA crosses 30 EMA from above.

    EXIT SIGNAL :Exit the trade when there is close of the candle above the 30 EMA.

    •My personal opinion and recommendations concerning moving averages indicator;

    The advantages of using moving averages need to be weighed against the disadvantages.
    Moving averages are trend following, or lagging, indicators that will always be a step behind. This is not necessarily a bad thing though.
    After all, the trend is your friend and it is best to trade in the direction of the trend.
    Moving averages insure that a trader is in line with the current trend.Being along with the current market trend is critical for traders success in this highly profitable forex trading business.

    Advantages
    Following are the advantages of using Moving Average for making the market analysis
    * Moving Average indicator is the trend following indicator which helps us to stay along the current market trend.
    * By using two different moving averages, it gives us clear view regarding the current market scenario to obtain the entry signal.
    * Dynamic support and resistance can be spotted with the help of two different moving averages.
    * This is one of the Consistent profit making strategy, provided the traders follow strict money and risk management in their each and every trade and stick to the trading plan.

    Disadvantages
    Some of the disadvantages of using moving averages are:-
    * Possibility of False breakouts or false crossovers due to the lag.
    * It is best used only during certain specific market sessions for respective currency pairs to be traded.

    My Two Cents : From my trading experience with the use of EMA of 18, 30 i would suggest that it is better to be used during certain specific timing. Like for example for GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, EUR/USD, EUR/JPY only London market opening session is suitable such that false crossover which was formed during Asian market session can be eliminated from considering for trading.

    Irrespective of any trading strategy always use risk and money management in each and every trade to survive in the forex market. Only then profits can be reaped. Make sure to withdraw the profits made, for fulfilling the commitments.
    Never deviate from the trading plan, always stick to the ideal entry plan upon noticing the potential signal generated with the moving average crossover.

    Also do not forget to exit the trade upon making targeted profits. Only then succeeding in the forex trading business with this awesome trading strategy becomes possible. All the best to all of you. Please share your experience.

    Moving Average Indicator -

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    Last edited by Ashviniurs; 05-20-2015 at 08:35 AM.

  2. #11
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    moving average is my favourite indicator and i use it all my strategy i use.now a days i using 200 ema strategy and it is also a breakout strategy.you give a crossover strategy which is really cool.but i think breakout is much more effective than crossover.but i used crossover ma strategy a lot and your strategy looks really easy and effective.so i like to use this strategy on my demo account and if it works well then i use it on real account.

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  3. #12
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    Moving Average is one of the best indicator ,I am always follow this indicator, it is not using alone but other indicator used with it, I like to use parabolic SR with Moving Average that make me easy to take any decision to open trade in right time and right way.

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  4. #13
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    Moving average is one of the indicators which follows the price . in other meaning they can named as indicators which describe the price movement . and they also can not be used to hep us to predict the future of a certain chart . we need other tools to help us to do that like reading the fundamental analysis .

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  5. #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by hosny55 View Post
    Moving average is one of the indicators which follows the price . in other meaning they can named as indicators which describe the price movement . and they also can not be used to hep us to predict the future of a certain chart . we need other tools to help us to do that like reading the fundamental analysis .
    We need a very good management in our business to utilize all forex indicator's properly. I think there is no doubt in it that in future market prediction they are very powerful and helpful, specially if you are using moving average on your chart. I love this indicator a lot because its not describe the price movement for me its a true trend finder too

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  6. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ovi05 View Post
    moving average is my favourite indicator and i use it all my strategy i use.now a days i using 200 ema strategy and it is also a breakout strategy.you give a crossover strategy which is really cool.but i think breakout is much more effective than crossover.but i used crossover ma strategy a lot and your strategy looks really easy and effective.so i like to use this strategy on my demo account and if it works well then i use it on real account.
    Really? How often you use moving average in your trading account. I think moving average is lagging indicator that make order late than the price. I think I more prefer to use leading indicator, You may also make a additional force to understand and learn the leading inducator.

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  7. #16
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    I can see that the moving average indicator is a very slow indicator and it may be so useless indicator whch can be used only for describing the market not more . i mean that the trading may be so good when we know the real ability of the indicators ,. these indicators do not say what will happen but what had happened actyually

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  8. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hukam View Post
    Very good information posted by you in this thread. And thanks for sharing the benefits and disadvantages of moving average with us. As we can see that moving average have many good feature's and it have only few bad points that it not give us any accurate signals in sideways, and could be give false breakout signals some time. Every indicator have disadvantages, and its very clear that we have to use them by proper understanding and wisely in the market. As a long term trader I am using EMA 100 and 200 in my trading chart.
    As i would like to say that moving average is one of the most common tool used by all trader. the main purpose of moving average is to smooth the price data and are commonly used as support and resistance too.There are different types of averages that vary in popularity but, regardless of how they are calculated, they are all interpreted in the same manner.As i use average of 50 and 200 . with a cross over when 50 cut 200 at up there comes a uptrend moment. as you can see in this picture.
    BLUE - 50 EMA
    YELLOW - 200 EMA

    Screenshot_183.jpg

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  9. #18
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    Ashviniurs there is a little bit change in my current trading strategy now, I am using moving average 20,8, and 200 now and along with it concentrating on short term target with m5 time frame, The good thing about M5 time frame is it give you a lot of chances or maximum money making chances per day on chart. As you are saying long term means less signals with moving average on chart, so I am concentrating on intra day now.

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  10. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawlader Manirujjaman View Post
    Moving Average is one of the best indicator ,I am always follow this indicator, it is not using alone but other indicator used with it, I like to use parabolic SR with Moving Average that make me easy to take any decision to open trade in right time and right way.
    Wow nice friend, this is my first time when I am hearing from anybody that he is mixing moving average and parabolic sar both in his trading system, I don't have any longer experience of parabolic sar but yeah moving average is involved in my trading analysis too. Thread creator have also a good experience of moving average indicator, I have also seen that most of professional forex trader's love to use moving average indicator on chart.

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  11. #20
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    Moving average is one of the best indicators in the world because still now many hedge fund traders use moving average to make a good decisions in the market. Not easy thing to do but with a very nice thing and a bright future ahead with moving average.

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